REDBIRDSTATS

Week 11 · Saturday, November 8, 2025

L 2629

vs California

Louisville #14 · California unranked · AP Top 25 entering the game

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · 51,381 in attendance · ESPN2

Line score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Louisville7673326
California71060629
GamecastReplay this gamewatch it play out →
Win expectancy
51.9%
Excitement index
8.99
Elo after
1709 (-28)
Weather
59° Cloudy

Betting

Spread
LOU -18.5
Against the spread
NO COVER
Total
48.5
Result
OVER 55

Closing line from DraftKings · Louisville -18.5. Lines are on record from 2013 on.

Team Stats

Louisville left, California right.

LouisvilleCalifornia
351Total yards427
203Passing350
148Rushing77
16First downs21
6-17Third down8-18
4-45Penalties8-60
1Turnovers0
30:08Possession29:52

Drives

Every possession, in order. Bar position is field position; length is yards gained.

Louisvilleopponentown goal line → opponent goal line
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

25 drives · a light edge marks a scoring drive

Box Score

Passing

PlayerC/ATTYDSTDINT
Miller Moss20/3820301
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele30/4732320
Jacob De Jesus1/22700

Rushing

PlayerCARYDSTDLONG
Keyjuan Brown14136035
Duke Watson81919
Miller Moss8-714
Kendrick Raphael1983124
Quaron Adams1808
Jacob De Jesus1101
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele4-1500

Receiving

PlayerRECYDSTDLONG
Caullin Lacy460040
Chris Bell649013
Nate Kurisky241037
Dacari Collins225021
Miller Moss215019
Jacob Stewart111011
Keyjuan Brown1505
Jaleel Skinner2-300
Jacob De Jesus16158125
Quaron Adams139039
Trond Grizzell237027
Kendrick Raphael537023
Landon Morris233120
Mark Hamper323012
Cole Boscia120020
Jordan King1303

Defense

PlayerTOTSACKSTFLQB HUR
Clev Lubin10010
TJ Quinn8000
Jabari Mack6000
Corey Gordon5000
Antonio Watts5010
JoJo Evans5000
Wesley Bailey3111
D'Angelo Hutchinson3001
Kalib Perry3000
Tayon Holloway2000
T.J. Capers2000
Adonijah Green2110
Jordan Guerad1110
Rodney Johnson1000
Jerry Lawson1000
Rene Konga1000
Denzel Lowry1001
Dru Polidore10000
Luke Ferrelli7011
Hezekiah Masses6000
Aaron Hampton6000
Cameron Sidney5010
Harrison Taggart5011
Aidan Keanaaina4110
Jayden Wayne3001
T.J. Bush2121
Odera Okaka2000
Eze Osondu2000
Stanley McKenzie1000
Derek Wilkins1000
Jordan Sanford1000
BJ Canady1000
Brent Austin1000
Michael-Anthony Okwura1000
Tyson Ford1000
Jasiah Wagoner1000
Chris Victor1000
Carson Perry-Smith1000

Advanced

Efficiency by quarter, garbage time included as played.

Predicted points added / play
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Game
Louisville0.410.400.17-0.110.15
California0.310.420.19-0.290.20
Success rate
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Game
Louisville53%50%50%32%43%
California53%53%35%21%42%
Explosiveness
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Game
Louisville1.231.350.770.751.04
California1.261.311.290.511.21
LOUCALIFORNIA
Scoring opps6 · 3.8 pts8 · 2.9 pts
Havoc rate14.9%20.3%
Avg start71.172.8
Stuff rate18%14%

Most valuable plays

Jacob De Jesus WR+12.7
Keyjuan Brown RB+8.8
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele QB+7.5
Quaron Adams WR+3.0
Trond Grizzell WR+2.3
Mark Hamper WR+2.1

Cumulative predicted points added across the game.

Every Play

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