Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 2026
L 28–31
at NC State
Carter-Finley Stadium · ACC Network
Line score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| NC State | 3 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 31 |
Pregame odds
66%
Win expectancy
17.0%
Excitement index
5.86
Elo after
1671 (-3)
Weather
66° Light Rain
Betting
Spread
LOU -5.5
Against the spread
NO COVER
Total
56.5
Result
OVER 59
Closing line from DraftKings · Louisville -5.5. Lines are on record from 2013 on.
Team Stats
Louisville left, NC State right.
LouisvilleNC State
485Total yards493
254Passing373
231Rushing120
22First downs26
4-9Third down9-17
3-40Penalties7-64
3Turnovers1
22:40Possession37:20
Drives
Every possession, in order. Bar position is field position; length is yards gained.
Louisvilleopponentown goal line → opponent goal line
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
23 drives · a light edge marks a scoring drive
Box Score
Passing
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Kienholz | 21/30 | 254 | 2 | 0 |
| CJ Bailey | 24/40 | 373 | 2 | 1 |
| Joshisa Trader | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rushing
| Player | CAR | YDS | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 9 | 125 | 1 | 70 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 8 | 88 | 1 | 49 |
| Lincoln Kienholz | 7 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| Davion Gause | 21 | 69 | 0 | 12 |
| Will Wilson | 7 | 27 | 1 | 9 |
| CJ Bailey | 7 | 19 | 0 | 9 |
| Jayden Scott | 5 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| Darius Johnson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Receiving
| Player | REC | YDS | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Richardson | 8 | 117 | 1 | 38 |
| Lawayne McCoy | 2 | 41 | 1 | 33 |
| Treyshun Hurry | 4 | 37 | 0 | 13 |
| Justyn Reid | 1 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| Jackson Voth | 2 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 2 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| Isaac Brown | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshisa Trader | 5 | 92 | 0 | 46 |
| Preston Douglas | 5 | 74 | 0 | 35 |
| Davion Gause | 3 | 45 | 0 | 36 |
| Keenan Jackson | 3 | 44 | 1 | 19 |
| Tyran Warren | 2 | 43 | 1 | 34 |
| Victor Snow | 3 | 39 | 0 | 24 |
| Hunter Provience | 1 | 24 | 0 | 24 |
| Darius Johnson | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| Chance Robinson | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| CJ Bailey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | TOT | SACKS | TFL | QB HUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Capers | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kaleb Beasley | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Clev Lubin | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brycen Scott | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Perry | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Travaris Banks | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tayon Holloway | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanquan Clark | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerod Smith II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Daylen Russell | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Thompson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Carter | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DJ Waller Jr. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bailey Abercrombie | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Ziesmer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demeco Kennedy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Norwood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew Kegebein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Nelson II | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raul Aguirre Jr. | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaren Sensabaugh | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tristan Teasdell | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harvey Dyson III | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Brody Barnhardt | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LaCorian Hodge | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DaKaari Nelson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamel Johnson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Vick | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chase Bond | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| King Mack | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Shirley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Zane Williams | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Johnson | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevon Carter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Katron Evans | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronnie Royal III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ziggy Moore | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Prim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Adedire | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Adrian Farrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caden Gordon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Foust | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Moreta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Satchell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Advanced
Efficiency by quarter, garbage time included as played.
Predicted points added / play
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0.42 | 0.06 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| NC State | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.15 | 0.26 |
Success rate
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 63% | 30% | 59% | 56% | 48% |
| NC State | 39% | 35% | 50% | 35% | 40% |
Explosiveness
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 1.40 | 2.03 | 1.36 | 1.27 | 1.50 |
| NC State | 1.70 | 1.15 | 1.52 | 1.21 | 1.42 |
LOUNC STATE
Scoring opps6 · 3.5 pts10 · 3.0 pts
Havoc rate11.6%29.6%
Avg start74.074.1
Stuff rate27%10%
Most valuable plays
CJ Bailey QB+29.2
Tre Richardson WR+8.9
Joshisa Trader WR+7.5
Isaac Brown RB+6.2
Preston Douglas TE+6.2
Lincoln Kienholz QB+5.0
Cumulative predicted points added across the game.
Every Play
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