REDBIRDSTATS

Postseason · Tuesday, December 23, 2025

W 2722

vs Toledo

FAU Stadium · ESPN

Line score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Louisville7071327
Toledo3001922
GamecastReplay this gamewatch it play out →
Win expectancy
92.1%
Excitement index
4.95
Elo after
1749 (+5)
Weather
79° Rain Shower

Betting

Spread
LOU -12.5
Against the spread
NO COVER
Total
44.5
Result
OVER 49

Closing line from DraftKings · Louisville -12.5. Lines are on record from 2013 on.

Team Stats

Louisville left, Toledo right.

LouisvilleToledo
333Total yards336
153Passing167
180Rushing169
23First downs20
1-9Third down4-13
6-47Penalties14-100
1Turnovers1
28:14Possession31:46

Drives

Every possession, in order. Bar position is field position; length is yards gained.

Louisvilleopponentown goal line → opponent goal line
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

23 drives · a light edge marks a scoring drive

Box Score

Passing

PlayerC/ATTYDSTDINT
Miller Moss16/2415320
Kalieb Osborne17/2816710

Rushing

PlayerCARYDSTDLONG
Keyjuan Brown15112031
Isaac Brown10102253
Caullin Lacy111011
Antonio Meeks1-500
Miller Moss7-703
Kalieb Osborne1877029
DeaMonte Trayanum1665113
Kenji Christian627015

Receiving

PlayerRECYDSTDLONG
Caullin Lacy688028
Treyshun Hurry328117
Antonio Meeks326116
Isaac Brown2607
Jaleel Skinner1505
Keyjuan Brown1000
Junior Vandeross761019
Jacob Petersen360126
Ryder Treadway120020
Trayvon Rudolph112012
Kenji Christian21206
DeaMonte Trayanum2503
Cole Rhett1-30-3

Defense

PlayerTOTSACKSTFLQB HUR
TJ Quinn801.50
Corey Gordon8010
JoJo Evans8110
Clev Lubin71.520
Rodney Johnson6010
D'Angelo Hutchinson5000
Adonijah Green4010
Kalib Perry3000
Jerry Lawson3011
Tayon Holloway2000
Jordan Guerad20.50.50
Stanquan Clark2000
Jabari Mack2000
Kris Hughes2000
T.J. Capers2000
Micah Carter1110
Denzel Lowry1000
Blake Ruffin1000
Nick Keller1000
Eric Hazzard1000
Langston Long801.50
K'Von Sherman8000
Martez Poynter6120
Anthony Dunn6001
Andre Fuller5010
Nicholas Thompson5000
Avery Smith5000
Esean Carter400.50
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren4000
Avery Dunn3110
Nasir Bowers3000
Hudson Miller2000
Dylan Hohler2000
Eric Williams1000
James Roe1000
Doran Ray1000
Jeremiah Peters1000
Willie Shaw III1000
Louce Julien1000

Advanced

Efficiency by quarter, garbage time included as played.

Predicted points added / play
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Game
Louisville0.22-0.390.490.410.12
Toledo-0.16-0.280.130.400.05
Success rate
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Game
Louisville33%33%71%62%48%
Toledo27%24%47%59%41%
Explosiveness
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Game
Louisville1.780.740.871.501.16
Toledo1.330.870.711.201.05
LOUTOLEDO
Scoring opps7 · 4.0 pts6 · 3.3 pts
Havoc rate23.2%17.5%
Avg start67.169.6
Stuff rate27%19%

Most valuable plays

Caullin Lacy WR+6.9
Jacob Petersen TE+5.8
Isaac Brown RB+3.4
Keyjuan Brown RB+2.2
Kalieb Osborne QB+2.1
Kenji Christian RB+1.4

Cumulative predicted points added across the game.

Every Play

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